| Overall | 11W 6L 3T |
| District | 6W 1L 1T |
| Expected | 10: 3+ 7- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
1 2 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1461 288 Strength Momentum |
1330 63.8(6) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | Las Cruces | 0.002 | 1155 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1392 | 87% |  |
| 08/22/15 | Onate | 0.001 | 985 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 1459 | 96% | |
| 08/24/15 | at Sandia | 0.003 | 1278 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1435 | 69% | |
| 08/26/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.004 | 1330 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-4) | 1279 | 71% | |
| 08/29/15 | West Mesa | 0.006 | 870 | W 4- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1300 | 99% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Cleveland | 0.012 | 1459 | T 3- 3 | Better (0) | 1476 | 46% | |
| 09/03/15 | at La Cueva | 0.017 | 1338 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1365 | 62% | |
| 09/08/15 | at St. Pius ?? | 0.034 | 1282 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-3) | 1287 | 68% | |
| 09/10/15 | Eldorado ? | 0.045 | 1287 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1308 | 75% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.091 | 1475 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1434 | 44% | |
| 09/17/15 | Los Alamos | 0.111 | 1191 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1410 | 85% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.145 | 1330 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1411 | 63% | |
| 09/24/15 | Santa Fe | 0.033 | 877 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1673 | 99% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Volcano Vista ! | 0.275 | 1454 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1523 | 47% | |
| 09/30/15 | Cibola | 0.313 | 1381 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1606 | 64% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Cleveland !! | 0.599 | 1459 | W 4- 3 | Better (+1) | 1526 | 46% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.058 | 877 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1705 | 98% | |
| 10/14/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.806 | 1454 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1391 | 55% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Cibola | 0.873 | 1381 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1487 | 56% | |
| 10/24/15 | Cleveland | 0.991 | 1459 | T 0- 0 | Worse (0) | 1444 | 54% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Rio Rancho actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1330, while
Rio Rancho's "weighted playing strength" is 1470
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page